Energy Commodity Exchanges in Russia: Protection Against Shocks or Monopolies?
https://doi.org/10.37791/2687-0657-2022-16-2-34-50
EDN: NBDPEL
Abstract
The development of commodity exchanges is promoted as one of main competition policy directions in Russian energy markets. Exchange trade has a number of procompetitive effects based on reduction of market transaction costs, as well as on prevention of price manipulations. Those effects in their turn contribute to less painful coping with economic shocks and imbalances, which acquires a special importance amid crisis circumstances of 2020 and 2022. However, exchange trade is connected with its own risks and constraints, in particular under the shortage of liquidity, excessive market concentration or abusive practices supported by a weak regulation. This paper contains the empirical analysis of the dependence between structural and pricing indicators in the markets for natural gas and diesel fuel on Saint-Petersburg International Mercantile Exchange. It is discovered that the excessive concentration in natural gas markets negatively affects price stability and market liquidity - development of this trading segment requires more active involvement of independent suppliers. At the same time, this involvement should be realized not by directive measures but by additional opportunities of exchange trade. This dependence is more complicated in markets for diesel fuel - it is necessary to continue the policy of supporting the volume of liquidity while increasing the attractiveness of the trading conditions for different groups of market participants. As such, there should be different policies to promote commodity exchanges developments in different markets, and those policies may change follow market evolution. At the same time, discretionary anti-crisis measures should be avoided, if they increase uncertainty on commodity exchanges and lower incentives for their development.
About the Authors
Alexander A. KurdinAlexandra R. Kolomiets
References
1. Макарова Ю. В. Эволюция контрактных отношений на рынке СПГ как фактор повышения конкурентоспособности сектора // Современная конкуренция. 2018. Т. 12. № 2-3 (68-69). С. 132-143.
2. Aulerich N., Irwin S., Garcia P. Bubbles, food prices, and speculation: evidence from the CFTC's daily large trader data files // The economics of food price volatility / ed. by J.-P. Chavas, D. Hummels, B. Wright. - University of Chicago Press, 2014. P. 211-253. DOI: 10.3386/w19065.
3. Avdasheva S., Golovanova S. Oil explains all: desirable organisation of the Russian fuel markets (on the data of three waves of antitrust cases against oil companies) // Post-Communist Economies. 2017. Vol. 29. No. 2. P. 198- 215. DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2016.1267971.
4. Avdasheva S., Korneeva D., Radchenko T. Antitrust price remedies may facilitate collusion in global commodity markets // World Competition. 2018. Vol. 41. No. 4. P. 603-621.
5. Falvey J., Kleit A.Commodity exchanges and antitrust // Berkeley Business Law Journal. 2007. Vol. 4. No. 1. P. 123-176. DOI: 10.15779/Z38ZG4N.
6. Gilbert C. Speculative influences on Commodity futures prices 2006-2008. - Geneva, Switzerland: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, 2010. URL: https://www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/idc/groups/public/@swaps/documents/file/plstudy_14_cifrem.pdf (дата обращения: 25.10.2020).
7. Haase M., Zimmermann Y., Zimmermann H. The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets - A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies // Journal of Commodity Markets. 2016. Vol. 3. No. 1. P. 1-5. DOI: 10.1016/j. jcomm.2016.07.006.
8. IOSCO. Task Force on Commodity Futures Markets. Report to the Financial Stability Board. April 2011. URL: https://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD352.pdf (дата обращения: 25.10.2020).
9. Irwin S., Sanders D. Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets // Energy Economics. 2012. Vol. 34. No. 1. P. 256-269. DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2011.10.008.
10. Mahenc P., Salanié F. Softening competition through forward trading // Journal of Economic Theory. 2004. Vol. 116. No. 2. P. 282-293. DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2003.07.009.
11. Manera M., Nicolini M., Vignati I. Modelling futures price volatility in energy markets: Is there a role for financial speculation? // Energy Economics. 2016. No. 53. P. 220-229. DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.07.001.
12. Markham J. The commodity exchange monopoly - reform is needed // Washington and Lee Law Review. 1991. Vol. 48. No. 3. P. 977-1036.
13. Ménard C., Kurdin A., Shastitko A. Out by the door, in through the window: Politics and natural gas regulation in Russia // Utilities Policy. 2020. No. 64. Article 101051. DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2020.101051.
14. Miffre J., Brooks C. Do long-short speculators destabilize commodity futures markets? // International Review of Financial Analysis. 2013. No. 30. P. 230-240. DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2013.09.002.
15. Phillips P., Yu J. Dating the timeline of financial bubbles during the subprime crisis // Quantitative Economics. 2011. Vol. 2. No. 3. P. 455-491. DOI: 10.3982/QE82.
16. Radetzki M. Price formation and price trends in exhaustible resource markets: Evidence and explanations // Trade, Competition, and the Pricing of Commodities / ed. by S. Evenett, F. Jenny. - CEPR, 2012. P. 31-59.
17. Radetzki M. The relentless progress of commodity exchanges in the establishment of primary commodity prices // Resources policy. 2013. Vol. 38. No. 3. P. 266-277. DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2013.04.001
18. Talipova A., Parsegov S., Tukpetov P.Russian gas exchange: A new indicator of market efficiency and competition or the instrument of monopolist? // Energy Policy. 2019. No. 135. Article 111012. DOI: 10.1016/j. enpol.2019.111012.
19. Umantsiv I., Sonko Y., Yatsyshyna K.Competition at product markets of various types of commodities // Problems and Perspectives in Management. 2019. Vol. 17. No. 2. P. 334-347. DOI: 10.21511/ppm.17(2).2019.26.
Review
For citations:
Kurdin A., Kolomiets A. Energy Commodity Exchanges in Russia: Protection Against Shocks or Monopolies? Journal of Modern Competition. 2022;16(2):34-50. https://doi.org/10.37791/2687-0657-2022-16-2-34-50. EDN: NBDPEL