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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">moco</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Современная конкуренция / Journal of Modern Competition</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Journal of Modern Competition</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1993-7598</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2687-0657</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Московский университет «Синергия»</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="edn" pub-id-type="custom">WCEALP</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">moco-693</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Имитационное моделирование объединения: эмпирический анализ на рынке образования</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Merger Simulation: Evidence from the Education Market</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Настыч</surname><given-names>М.А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nastych</surname><given-names>M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">m.nastych@spbu.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Saint Petersburg State University</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2016</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>13</day><month>08</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>10</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>82</fpage><lpage>91</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Настыч М., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Настыч М.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Nastych M.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.moderncompetition.ru/jour/article/view/693">https://www.moderncompetition.ru/jour/article/view/693</self-uri><abstract><p>Настоящая работа посвящена эмпирическому исследованию объединения трех высших учебных заведений в Санкт-Петербурге. Данное объединение вузов является следствием реформ в области высшего образования России: процессов укрупнения одних и сокращения других вузов, образования федеральных университетов, сокращения многочисленных непрофильных специальностей. В статье строится прогноз экономических последствий объединения в рамках коммерческой формы обучения для получения степени бакалавра. В частности, получен прогноз о росте цен на коммерческие места, что объясняется низкой эластичностью спроса на рынке высшего образования и другими факторами. Эмпирический анализ в статье реализован по методу имитационного моделирования слияний, для чего были собраны данные о коммерческих местах по рассматриваемым высшим учебным заведениям Санкт-Петербурга.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper analyzes the merger between three universities in Saint Petersburg. This merger is a result of the processes taking place in the field of higher education in Russia. It includes consolidation and reduction of some other universities, formation of federal universities, reduction of numerous non-core specialties. As it is well known, the integration processes in oligopolistic markets are accompanied with increasing concentration, and hence growing of market power. It results in a decline in output, higher prices and higher profits of all firms in the industry. The merger of these universities is not motivated by these economic incentives that need to be evaluated. The article aims to predict the economic consequences of this merger within the framework of the commercial forms of education for a bachelor’s degree. In particular, our analysis shows the forthcoming price growth due to the low elasticity of demand for the higher education and other factors. The empirical analysis in the paper is based on the method of merger simulation with the use of open data on the positions available for entrants in the considered universities at Saint Petersburg.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>слияния</kwd><kwd>экономическая интеграция</kwd><kwd>высшее образование</kwd><kwd>эластичность</kwd><kwd>оценка спроса</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>merger</kwd><kwd>economic integration</kwd><kwd>higher education</kwd><kwd>elasticity</kwd><kwd>demand estimation</kwd><kwd>forecast</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Конюховский П. В., Малова А. С. Применение методов теории игр в анализе отношений сотрудничества между экономическими субъектами // Вестник Орловского государственного университета. Серия: Новые гуманитарные исследования. 2012. Т. 3. № 23. 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